Kadenwood

Direct lending is 39 billion dollars of a 331 billion dollar credit book.

Two of the largest credit platforms reported second quarter results in the same fortnight. At one, corporate direct lending is 39 billion dollars of a 331 billion dollar credit book. At the other, three quarters of debt origination was investment grade. The growth is real. It is not in cash flow lending.

Author

  • Ruben SchwagermannManaging Director

Currency

As of August 2026

A long receding battery of towering concrete silos in raking light, with one small service door at the base of the nearest cylinder.

Where did the new private credit money actually go?

Into investment grade asset-backed paper and collateralized loan obligations, not into corporate lending. KKR's credit business held 331 billion dollars at 30 June 2026. Corporate private credit was 48 billion of that, and direct lending 39 billion.

The rest sits elsewhere. Leveraged credit accounted for 143 billion dollars, asset-based finance for 91 billion, liquid strategies for 38 billion and strategic investments for 11 billion. Direct lending, the strategy that finances a middle-market buyout or a founder's recapitalization, is roughly one dollar in eight of the whole book.

The flow points the same way as the stock. Organic new capital raised in the quarter was 9 billion dollars, and the firm attributes it primarily to high grade asset-based finance and to collateralized loan obligation issuance, together with inflows from its retirement business. Capital invested was 12 billion dollars, and deployment was described as most active in high grade asset-based finance.

None of this is a shrinking business. Credit assets rose 1 percent on the quarter and 13 percent on the year. The point is narrower and more useful: the growth arrived somewhere specific, and it is not where a company borrowing against its earnings stands.

Where the credit money sat, and where the new money went, in the second quarter of 2026
MeasureReadingFirm and period
Credit and liquid strategies assets331 billion dollarsKKR, at 30 June 2026
Change on prior year+13%KKR, at 30 June 2026
Leveraged credit143 billion dollarsKKR, at 30 June 2026
Asset-based finance91 billion dollarsKKR, at 30 June 2026
Corporate private credit48 billion dollarsKKR, at 30 June 2026
Of which direct lending39 billion dollarsKKR, at 30 June 2026
Liquid strategies38 billion dollarsKKR, at 30 June 2026
Strategic investments11 billion dollarsKKR, at 30 June 2026
Organic new capital raised9 billion dollarsKKR, quarter to 30 June 2026
Capital invested12 billion dollarsKKR, quarter to 30 June 2026
Total origination volume74 billion dollarsApollo, quarter to 30 June 2026
Of which debt68 billion dollarsApollo, quarter to 30 June 2026
Debt origination, investment gradeabout 75%Apollo, quarter to 30 June 2026
Debt origination, sub-investment gradeabout 25%Apollo, quarter to 30 June 2026
Organic inflows60 billion dollarsApollo, quarter to 30 June 2026
The two firms are not measuring the same thing and the rows should not be added together or compared line for line. The KKR rows are a stock, meaning assets under management held in its credit and liquid strategies segment at a single date, and the five component rows sum to the 331 billion dollar total. The Apollo rows are a flow, meaning debt and other assets originated during the quarter, much of which is placed with third parties or with its own retirement business rather than retained. The investment grade and sub-investment grade shares apply to the 68 billion dollars of debt origination, not to the 74 billion dollar total, and are stated on the call as approximate with average ratings of BBB plus and single B respectively. Where this article expresses a component as a share of a total, such as direct lending being roughly one dollar in eight of the KKR credit book, that arithmetic is ours and is not printed in either disclosure. Neither firm states that its appetite for corporate cash flow lending has fallen, and neither attributes its origination mix to the capital requirements of insurance balance sheets. The reading that headline private credit growth is a poor proxy for appetite for a middle-market cash flow loan is our inference from the composition above. Two large platforms are not the private credit market, and a manager without a retirement business faces a different set of constraints entirely.

Is the largest originator writing the kind of debt a company borrows?

Mostly not. Apollo originated 74 billion dollars in the second quarter of 2026. Of the 68 billion dollars of that which was debt, about three quarters was investment grade at an average rating of BBB plus.

The remaining quarter, roughly 17 billion dollars on that split, was sub-investment grade at an average rating of single B. That is the tier a sponsor-backed or founder-owned company actually borrows in, and at the largest origination machine in the market it is the minority of the debt written.

The trailing figure shows this is a run rate rather than one unusual quarter. Origination over the preceding twelve months was close to 320 billion dollars. Organic inflows in the quarter were 60 billion dollars, of which 38 billion arrived in asset management and 22 billion at the firm's retirement business.

Read those two disclosures together and they describe one market rather than two firms. The stock at one platform and the flow at the other tilt the same way, toward paper that is rated, secured or both.

“A borrower reads that private credit is at record size and assumes the record is theirs. Most of the growth is in paper an insurer can hold. The question to put to a lender is not how much it raised. It is how much of what it raised is allowed to end up in a loan that looks like mine.”

Ruben Schwagermann, Managing Director

Why is the mix tilting toward investment grade?

Because the money increasingly belongs to an insurer. Both firms attribute a large part of the quarter's inflows to their retirement businesses, and an insurance balance sheet carries capital charges that make sub-investment grade corporate risk expensive to hold.

That is the mechanism, and it is ours rather than theirs. Neither firm frames its origination mix as a constraint imposed by insurance capital. What each discloses is that the retirement business is a major source of the new money and that the new money is going into high grade and asset-backed strategies. The connection between those two facts is an ordinary one, and it is worth stating because it explains why the tilt is structural rather than a mood.

An insurer is buying a liability that runs for decades and is regulated on the capital it must hold against what it owns. Long-dated, contractually secured, investment grade cash flows fit that shape. A five to seven year loan to a single leveraged operating company, priced off earnings and rated single B, does not fit it nearly as well, whatever the yield looks like.

So the capital that is growing fastest inside these platforms is capital that mostly cannot buy your loan. That is a different situation from a market running out of money, and it calls for a different response.

What does this change for a company that needs cash flow debt?

Not the availability of capital, but which questions arrive first. A lender whose parent is growing fastest in asset-backed paper will ask asset coverage questions earlier, and will reach for structures that borrow the logic of secured lending.

In practice that shows up as a term sheet with more collateral in it than the same business would have seen two years ago. A borrowing base sitting alongside the cash flow facility. Tighter definitions of what counts as an eligible asset. Reporting cadence set monthly rather than quarterly. None of that is punitive, and it is not aimed at the individual borrower. It reflects what the house has learned to underwrite because that is what it has been buying.

It also changes who is worth approaching. Headline platform size is a poor guide to appetite for a particular loan, because the headline is dominated by strategies that will never see the file. The better filter is the strategy rather than the firm: which pools are mandated to write corporate cash flow paper, how large those pools are, and whether they are raising or harvesting.

The preparation follows from that. A business that can evidence its collateral, not just its earnings, is answering the question these lenders are now organized around. Clean receivables ageing, a defensible inventory valuation, an equipment schedule that ties to the ledger. That work has always helped. In a market whose growth is asset-backed, it decides which lenders can act at all.

What would show corporate direct lending growing again?

The direct lending line itself, quarter on quarter, at the platforms that disclose it. Total credit assets under management can rise 13 percent in a year without much of that growth reaching a cash flow borrower.

Watch the deployment sentence rather than the fundraising one. A platform will report where new capital was raised and, separately, where it was most active in putting money to work. When those two sentences stop naming high grade and asset-backed strategies, the mix has genuinely turned.

Treat one quarter carefully. Two firms are not the market, both are unusually large, and both have retirement businesses that shape their mix in a way a pure credit manager without one would not share. A smaller manager funded only by pension and endowment commitments faces none of these capital charges and may be lending into exactly the gap described here.

The practical version is short. Ask a prospective lender which fund or account the loan would sit in, how much of that specific pool is undrawn, and when it was last raised. Those three answers say more about whether the money can reach you than any headline about the size of private credit.

As of August 2026

Sources: KKR & Co. Inc., second quarter 2026 earnings release for the quarter ended 30 June 2026, reported 30 July 2026, section Asset Management Segment - Credit and Liquid Strategies, for the statements that assets under management increased 1 percent quarter over quarter and 13 percent year over year to 331 billion dollars with organic new capital raised of 9 billion dollars in the quarter, that new capital raised in the quarter was primarily driven by activity within high grade asset-based finance and collateralized loan obligation issuances as well as inflows from its retirement business, that assets under management comprised 143 billion dollars of leveraged credit, 91 billion dollars of asset-based finance, 48 billion dollars of corporate private credit including 39 billion dollars of direct lending, 11 billion dollars of strategic investments and 38 billion dollars of liquid strategies, and that capital invested was 12 billion dollars in the quarter with deployment most active in high grade asset-based finance. Apollo Global Management, Inc., second quarter 2026 earnings call held 4 August 2026, for the statements by James Zelter, President, that origination activity for the second quarter totalled 74 billion dollars, that 68 billion dollars of it was in debt comprised of approximately 75 percent investment grade at an average rating of BBB plus and 25 percent sub-investment grade at an average rating of single B, and that origination volume over the preceding twelve months was close to 320 billion dollars, and for the statement by Marc Rowan, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, that organic inflows in the quarter were 60 billion dollars comprising 38 billion dollars in asset management and 22 billion dollars at its retirement business. Spread figures given on the same call are deliberately omitted because two readings of them could not be reconciled against a primary source. The reading that the capital requirements applying to insurance balance sheets explain the tilt toward investment grade and asset-backed origination, and the reading that headline private credit growth is therefore a poor proxy for appetite for a middle-market cash flow loan, are our own inferences and are not claims made by either firm. Companion articles on this site cover why the published estimates of private credit's total size disagree, how much undeployed capital the largest managers were holding at the same date, what an asset-based facility actually advances against, and who funds a private credit lender.

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